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+---- Thread: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific (/thread-7106.html)
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RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Jay Coop - 05-10-2020
I've been thinking long and hard about this theory tonight.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Farengeto - 05-12-2020
(05-10-2020, 04:08 AM)Jay Coop Wrote: I've been thinking long and hard about this theory tonight.
I've been waiting to be proven wrong.
There are a few refinements I could make. More various details that frequently recur. But the overall trends have yet to be disproven.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Aga - 05-12-2020
I'll ask the same question that was asked at the start of this thread: what stage of the crisis do you think we're in?
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - USoVietnam - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 12:11 PM)Ski Slopes of Agalaesia Wrote: I'll ask the same question that was asked at the start of this thread: what stage of the crisis do you think we're in?
Rising tension is the closest in my opinion.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Farengeto - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 02:24 PM)USoVietnam Wrote:(05-12-2020, 12:11 PM)Ski Slopes of Agalaesia Wrote: I'll ask the same question that was asked at the start of this thread: what stage of the crisis do you think we're in?
Rising tension is the closest in my opinion.
*bemused laughter*
I will say that so far this year is checking all of the boxes for the cycle. To a depressing degree.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Aga - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 04:23 PM)Farengeto Wrote: I will say that so far this year is checking all of the boxes for the cycle. To a depressing degree.
Oh? So, what do you think the "crisis" is, and how do you think it will end up?
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Farengeto - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 04:34 PM)Ski Slopes of Agalaesia Wrote:(05-12-2020, 04:23 PM)Farengeto Wrote: I will say that so far this year is checking all of the boxes for the cycle. To a depressing degree.
Oh? So, what do you think the "crisis" is, and how do you think it will end up?
If you have to ask, then you haven't been paying attention.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Aga - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 05:04 PM)Farengeto Wrote:(05-12-2020, 04:34 PM)Ski Slopes of Agalaesia Wrote:(05-12-2020, 04:23 PM)Farengeto Wrote: I will say that so far this year is checking all of the boxes for the cycle. To a depressing degree.
Oh? So, what do you think the "crisis" is, and how do you think it will end up?
If you have to ask, then you haven't been paying attention.
I've been paying attention, however, this doesn't *feel* like a crisis.
RE: The Cycle Theory of the South Pacific - Somyrion - 05-12-2020
(05-12-2020, 05:04 PM)Farengeto Wrote:(05-12-2020, 04:34 PM)Ski Slopes of Agalaesia Wrote:(05-12-2020, 04:23 PM)Farengeto Wrote: I will say that so far this year is checking all of the boxes for the cycle. To a depressing degree.
Oh? So, what do you think the "crisis" is, and how do you think it will end up?
If you have to ask, then you haven't been paying attention.
It's not a crisis until one of us goes "ooh, it's Faren's cycle theory all over again!" and then it is a crisis. Sometimes I think this is a sociologically interesting concept, and sometimes I think it's an ill-advised, defeatist, self-fulfilling prophecy.
Yes, the recent debates over a MoRA split have been especially tense. But that's all they are -- tense, perhaps too tense debates, that have not been handled well by any party. It is irresponsible to place the current RA split debate on the same level as Timscade or the Hileville coup. This debate has not broken the region, nor is it going to break the region. It is not affecting the rest of the region beyond its localized topic: (nearly) everyone is still voting for Qvait and Penguin for CRS, despite their prominent role in the apparently "crisis-level" tensions.
We need to have some understanding that even if they can get out of hand, tensions are a natural, expected, manageable part of regional government. Tensions can exist without being region-breaking crisis drama. Tensions can even become problematic and require significant resolution (as in this case) without being region-breaking crisis drama. TSP does itself a disservice by mentally, artificially blowing up every instance of tension into a problem so big that we think we're unable to solve it.
Don't make this another schadenfreude-filled "yay, a victory for the cycle theory!" discussion. Don't. We can be more sophisticated than that.