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+------ Thread: Decisions 2017 (/thread-4839.html)
RE: Decisions 2017 - Jay Coop - 03-23-2017
French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian (Socialist) has endorsed centrist Emmanuel Macron.
RE: Decisions 2017 - GI-Land - 03-26-2017
The Saarland had election day today.
These are the forecasts of 6 p.m. GMT+1: The "Schulz-effect" wasn't visiible. In contrary, the SPD even lost 1.1%, while the CDU gained 5.8% and got 41% of the votes. They would need 44.75% to gain the absolute majority in the state, but most likely they will coalise with the social democrats and leave behind a small coalition consisting out of leftists on the one side and ultra-conservatives on the other. Neither the pirates, nor the greens or the liberals made it into the parliament (for pirates and greens: again).
![[+]](/images/collapse_collapsed.png "[+]")
Spoiler![[Image: 17493252_10155221273889407_1058496138075...e=595AC0CD]](https://scontent-fra3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/17493252_10155221273889407_1058496138075048412_o.png?oh=0dc4d3e9c168a13368aeae6d817128c6&oe=595AC0CD)
The Saarland is maybe small, but some institutions (want to) see in the results a signal for the federal election in September. If the results would be similar to the ones in the Saarland, Merkel would continue to govern Germany. Most likely the results won't be similar. The Greens and the Liberals have, on the federal level, a high chance of getting into the Bundestag again, so we have to wait, how the next elections in Schleswig-Holstein and Northrhine-Westphalia in May end, to get a better forecast for the Bundestag-election.
The only thing we can definitely know because of the Saarlandian votes:
The SPD can't trust the "Schulz-effect" to do all the work. They need contents and a good campaign still to win the election in September.
EDIT: The voter participation lay at 71%, in 2012 it lay only at 61.6%
RE: Decisions 2017 - GI-Land - 04-16-2017
Little Erdo in Turkey maybe wins. After 53% of the votes are counted, 57% are for the new presidential system (that's more like a dictature....whatever), 43% are against it.
The voter participation lay at 86%.
Election observers of the OECD and EU will publish a report to how fair the election was perhaps tomorrow already.
Let's see, what the other 47% of the voters wanted.
RE: Decisions 2017 - Seraph - 04-16-2017
I believe it's definitely a yes, now.
Sent from my SM-G357FZ using Tapatalk
RE: Decisions 2017 - Jay Coop - 04-16-2017
[Image: 4-star-wars-quotes.gif]
RE: Decisions 2017 - Belschaft - 04-16-2017
From what I've been observing, there have been serious irregularities in the voting. When the government announces they've won on the basis of 98% of votes counted, whilst the election agency says they've only counted two-thirds of the votes, you know something is.... problematic.
The question of course is whether or not the AKP has completely subverted the Turkish courts and electoral bodies at this point.
RE: Decisions 2017 - Jay Coop - 04-16-2017
Not good. God knows how France and Germany will react in the months to come. Speaking of France, it has become a four-way race for the presidency between François Fillon (center-right), Marine Le Pen (far-right), Emmanuel Macron (center), and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (left). Mélenchon has been on the rise after two stellar performances in the debates. The first round will take place on 23 April. I still think that Macron is the best option.
![[Image: Opinion_polling_for_the_French_president...C_2017.png]](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election%2C_2017.png)
RE: Decisions 2017 - Belschaft - 04-16-2017
Mélenchon is not "left" - he's far-left.
It remains extremely likely Macron and Le Pen will be the finalists, despite Mélenchon's rise - he might push Fillion into fourth, but he has limited potential draw left. He gets into the final round only if a scandal takes out Macron. The final, like almost all French presidential elections, will come down to one right wing candidate and one left wing candidate.
RE: Decisions 2017 - GI-Land - 04-17-2017
Macron criticised the German export policy. Germany's economic strength isn't sustainable in this scale, since Germany profits from the imbalance within the euro-zone and gets high export excesses, which wouldn't be good for their own and the euro zone's economy. At the same time, he criticised the conditions in France too, which need big structural reforms.
RE: Decisions 2017 - Jay Coop - 04-18-2017
So, the United Kingdom is going to hold an election.