| Incumbents lead preferences days before the election |
Incumbents lead preferences days before the election Results from the November 2015 Election Survey Recently the Southern Journal conducted two surveys. One was meant to give us an idea of who was in the mind of citizens as a potential candidate for the upcoming election. A second survey provided respondents with a list of potential candidates, based on the names obtained from the first survey, and asked them to rate their favourability or unfavourability towards each. What follows are the graphs that show the results from the second survey and a brief analysis and explanation of the results for each position. Please be warned that these results are not to be viewed as an accurate predition of how the election will go and only reflect preferences before nominations and campaigning. It is entirely possible that some will nto actually run for office or will not do as predicted by this survey. Delegate Former Delegate Kringalia has the lead in this race, though he is closely followed by incumbent Delegate Feirmont. Both have high favourability and would lead a close race if they ran against each other, while other candidates have a tendency towards unfavourability, perhaps with the exception of Rebeltopia, who has mixed results in his favourability rating. Feirmont benefits from his incumbent advantage and his experience in regional affairs, though some have expressed concern at a perceived lack of activity in recent weeks. Kringalia does have the advantage of being seen as very active in his current role as Minister of Regional Affairs, though he has not been as engaged in other government activities and has shown increasing distate for involvement in gameplay, something that might surface in any hypothetical campaign. Vice Delegate Whoever is chosen as a running mate would have relatively good favourability, though incumbent and former Vice Delegates Arbiter08 and Sam111 have more mixed results, with some unfavourable ratings as high as their favourable ratings. Both Imkihca and Farengeto have a distinct lean towards favourability, though Feirmont has a clear advantage over all, with very low unfavourability. Feirmont benefits from his already considerable experience as Delegate, which makes him prepared to serve as Vice Delegate and take care of any problems that might arise during a hypothetical term. It is not entirely surprising to see Arbiter08 and Sam111 have lower ratings, since they have been slightly inactive in their previous roles. Farengeto and Imkihca on the other hand are unproven and potentially refreshening figures, which works to their advantage. Chair of the Assembly Farengeto has a clear incumbent advantage should he wish to keep his job as Chair of the Assembly. However, current Deputy Chair Awe has an equal advantage and would be a serious challenger, should he choose to run for the position. Former Chair Sandaoguo would have a slim chance, though he is said to be comfortable in his current position as Court Justice. Ryccia was mentioned in the first survey as a possible challenger, but it seems he would not fare well in an election. If Farengeto does choose to run for reelection, it is possible that some will question his rule during the recent Great Council and his ability to compromise and pass the large reforms that were originally promised by Aramanchovia earlier this year. While Awe does not have that under his belt, he does show certain inactivity as of late, which would reduce his chances of enacting meaningful reform. Minister of Foreign Affairs Incumbent Minister Hileville has a clear advantage in this election. Both Sandaoguo and Scylla could be serious challengers, but they would not necessarily have as much of a chance as getting elected. Scylla in particular might have been a serious contender, but not in a race involving a popular incumbent. With Sandaoguo comfortable in his position as Court Justice, Hileville will surely win reelection, assuming he does choose to run. Hileville benefits from his more frequent communications with the region and his enactment of policies that are favourably seen by the citizenry. He resumed the practice of publishing Foreign Updates and restarted the Foreign Service, two things that set him apart from his less communicative predecessor. His recent deactivation of the ambassador corps might be a negative point in his campaign, given previous comments by Sandaoguo that an ambassador corps was unsustainable. Minister of the Army Siberian has a clear incumbent advantage, though General Resentine has similar favourability ratings and would have a serious chance at unseating him, were he to show interest in the position. Hammerstar and Alisa ran in the previous election and might garner some votes, though not enough to be serious challengers. Were Distortilla to run for a third time, he would still rank lowest, since his unfavourability is higher than the favourability of both Siberian and Resentine. Though Siberian has benefited from the acitivity generated by his predecessor ProfessorHenn, he has not been as successful at making that activity known. Reports on previous missions are scarce and a full account of missions was not given until Chair Farengeto started discussions on the scheduled Special Forces review, currently held in the Private Halls of the Assembly. If Siberian does run for reelection, he will have to answer for a lack of communication and assure the region that progress with the military is being made. Minister of Regional Affairs Kringalia is sure to win reelection in a landslide if he chooses to go for a third term. Though other candidates would be competitive amongst themselves, they are far behind the incumbent in terms of favourability. Imkihca probably has the better chance at election if Kringalia does not run, followed by Feirmont and Bonaugure. Awe and Scylla might be competitive, though that would depend on the other candidates and how each runs their campaign. Minister Kringalia benefits from high recognition due to the regularity of media issues and the frequent organisation of regional festivals, as well as his focus on roleplaying and gameside posting. One point of criticism against him would be his inability to follow through with certain projects, namely the regional radio and the historical project. Imkihca benefits from a clean slate and her record as a graphics expert, while Scylla would benefit in the same way that Feirmont benefited when he first ran for this position. Other contenders like Awe and Bonaugure are currently too inactive to make a serious run, though they do have the experience and credibility. Punchwood is placed last in preferences, though he has the experience and enthusiasm to mount a serious campaign. Former Delegate of the South Pacific
Posts outside High Court venues should be taken as those of any other legislator. I do not participate in the regional server, but I am happy to talk through instant messaging or on the forum. Legal Resources: THE MATT-DUCK Law Archive | Mavenu Diplomatic Archive | Rules of the High Court | Case Submission System | Online Rulings Consultation System
Awww thanks for saying I have "the experience and enthusiasm to mount a serious campaign." This is interesting and I look forward to the election still.
Europeian Ambassador to The South Pacific
Former Local Council Member Former Minister of Regional Affairs Former High Court Justice
This one's gon be gud.
<33
Wow. Im in a survey. That is in a position I never even considered.
Im impressed, surprised and shocked. Weird.
Deputy Regional Minister of the Planning and Development Agency(March 8-May 19, 2014)
Local Council Member(April 24-August 11) Court Justice of TSP(August 15-December 7)
Not planning on running for anything any time soon. [emoji6]
An eye for an eye just makes the whole world go blind.
~Mahatma Gandhi
I hope Scylla does run for MoFA. The more competitive a race is, the better.
Interesting. Looks like a lot of healthy competition.
Semi-Unretired
Oh, hello DM!
Deputy Regional Minister of the Planning and Development Agency(March 8-May 19, 2014)
Local Council Member(April 24-August 11) Court Justice of TSP(August 15-December 7)
Hi!
Semi-Unretired
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Averaged Results
:embarrased: ![[Image: Uy6Tvaj.gif]](https://i.imgur.com/Uy6Tvaj.gif)
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