We've moved, ! Update your bookmarks to https://thesouthpacific.org! These forums are being archived.

Dismiss this notice
See LegComm's announcement to make sure you're still a legislator on the new forums!

Roavin's Election Graphs & Coverage - June 2017 Cabinet Elections
#1

These graphs represent, for each election, the progress of each elected office based on public votes cast. The X axis represents the cast public ballots, while the Y axis represents the number of votes received in the final round of elimination (meaning that there is a supermajority). Ties, while possible, are not resolved but just shown as such.
 
As of June 12, 4:30pm EDT:
I call Spenty as new Minister of Regional Affairs
I call Yuno as new Minister of Military Affairs
[Image: XXPV74Y.png?1]
Reply
#2

Update as of June 12, 5:40am EDT:


[Image: FhcU6Wb.png]

Prime Minister: The Prime Minister is predictably close; an early lead by Farengeto has been overcome just barely by Roavin, whose current 9 final votes include a first-preference RON voter, while Farengeto still has the advantage that first-preference Sandaoguo voters prefer Farengeto over Roavin, which could be very crucial votes if Roavin cannot secure an absolute majority after eliminating RON.

[Image: tOyTzG6.png]

Minister of Foreign Affairs: While incumbent Escade is still in the lead, the margin is not necessarily comfortable; early voters strongly preferred reopening nominations, and only later did Escade manage to close and overcome the gap to be in a too-close-for-comfort lead of 5 votes.

[Image: 3tOY0u8.png]

Minister of Regional Affairs: Besides one RON vote, Spenty is mopping the floor and is already projected to win.

[Image: FqDpown.png]

Minister of Military Affairs: Yuno leads newcomer Witchcraft and Sorcery with a comfortable 12-vote margin. It's remarkable that only 2 of 19 voters so far placed reopening nominations above the last place in their ballot, indicating that despite Yuno's strong lead, South Pacifican legislators would be comfortable with either candidate.
[Image: XXPV74Y.png?1]
Reply
#3

Updated as of June 12, 4:30pm EDT

[Image: qdU45xU.png]

Prime Minister: Through a 6-vote difference in first-preference votes, Roavin now holds a majority, though it's still a very close race against Farengeto, considering that only 25 of 54 potential votes are accounted for. If Roavin can hold on to the first-preference advantage, he is likely to win; however voters with neither Roavin nor Farengeto as first preference are expected to rather swing towards Farengeto (due to Roavin's conflict of interest), making it very tight if the runoff vote goes into the second or third round.

[Image: 0ZUHfle.png]

Minister of Foreign Affairs: Escade's gap on RON has widened to 9, with recent voters more likely to be in her favor than not. Still, it's not a safe race at this point with only 25 of 54 potential voters accounted for, and RON could still easily get the upper hand; either way, this reluctance amongst legislators to give Escade the mandate for another term is a tell-tale sign.

[Image: OaHsTRF.png]

Minister of Regional Affairs: With 22 votes in favor against 3 RON votes, I project Spenty to be the next Minister of Regional Affairs.

[Image: TtOuScG.png]

Minister of Military Affairs: With 21 votes in favor of Yuno versus 5 votes for Witchcraft and Sorcery, I project Yuno to be the next Minister of Military Affairs. Congratulations!

[Image: 4ROKo2u.png]

Crazy Person: Fittingly, this graph is crazy. Many intermediate results had 2, 3, or even 4 way ties. At this time, Omega and Gordon Freeman are duking it out at the top, with Gordon Freeman currently having a small edge. An interesting statistic: First-preference voters for Tim unanimously preferred Omega over Gordon Freeman, while first-preference voters for Qvait unanimously preferred the opposite.
[Image: XXPV74Y.png?1]
Reply
#4

Why does it say June 2016?
Reply
#5

Oops - to the edit-mobile!
[Image: XXPV74Y.png?1]
Reply




Users browsing this thread:
1 Guest(s)





Theme © iAndrew 2018 Forum software by © MyBB .