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(01-27-2015, 05:25 PM)Qwert Wrote: What method did you use? Natural logarithms. To be more specific, I used the equation n=ae^(kt) where n is the current amount, a is the initial value, e is 2.718, k is a constant specific to the situation at hand, and t is time.
Darkstrait :ninja:
Former Justice, Former Local Councilor, Roleplayer, Former SPSF Deputy for Recruitment, Politically Active Citizen, Ex-Spammer Supreme, and Resident Geek "Hats is very fashion this year."
What data did you use?
My own: all new nations start with a population of 5 million, and yesterday I took my population, plugged it into the equation, and got my results.
Darkstrait :ninja:
Former Justice, Former Local Councilor, Roleplayer, Former SPSF Deputy for Recruitment, Politically Active Citizen, Ex-Spammer Supreme, and Resident Geek "Hats is very fashion this year."
All right
If anyone needs any other stuff done which they can't do because they have a life, contact me!
Darkstrait :ninja:
Former Justice, Former Local Councilor, Roleplayer, Former SPSF Deputy for Recruitment, Politically Active Citizen, Ex-Spammer Supreme, and Resident Geek "Hats is very fashion this year."
Based on Ballotonia's observations (here): If the growth rate is 5-7 millions per day then, assuming even chance and that the random growth starts after day 21 (at 62 millions), the total population (in millions) should be found in between n=62+5(t-21) and n=62+7(t-21).
Calculating the population after 426 days (as in my case) using k=5,6,7 and taking the mean yields a population of 2492 millions and my actual is 2507 Since the chance of obtaining a either 5, 6 or 7 million increase should be equal it is sufficient to use n=62+6(t-21). When testing this for some nations it seems that the error is somewhere between 0.1 and 0.6 %.
*Finishes reading... or the bourbon (?) And walks back to the bar*
Oi, may I have an iced tea? Since when did this become a statistics class?
Hmmm, you are right.
One alcohol please!
One milkshake for me! And drop some irish cream in there; be a sport
*gets Bono an iced tea with a fresh sprig of mint*
Do you want that sweetened? I did enjoy Poe back in my school days *gets the smoothies for whoever and hums softly* Well now....*scraps the tab and runs another one on a different bill* *makes Qwert an chocaholic, almost what was ordered but not quite there* Give that a try why don't you? *hums All Star by Smash Mouth* *makes up a milkshake for Feir, accidentally drops in a whole bottle of Irish Cream into it* Opps, well this might have a bit of a kick...*slides the milkshake down the bar to Fier*
My one and only Minion is Rebs.
Now to reclaim my crown. It is a location joke. All those who wander are not always lost... The voices inside of my head get along with the monsters under my bed that do bone dances with the skeletons in my closet while the disco ball hangs by a thread... one of the1st Delegates of TSP...she went crazy..naw she was already bonkers... |
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